Tuesday, 21 September 2010

Is is a good time to go for a tracker mortgage?

"Will they? Won't they?" is a refrain that has recently been resonating in homes nationwide: whether the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England will raise base rate or not.

The bargain base rate – left unchanged again at 0.5 per cent in August's meeting, the 17th month in a row – has made mortgages more affordable for many.

In particular, trackers that follow base rate have become more attractive given the historically low rate.

For example, for those borrowing 80 per cent of their property's value, Nationwide offers a two-year tracker, priced at 3.88 per cent (base rate plus 3.38 per cent). Elsewhere, the Post Office has a lifetime tracker priced at 3.89 per cent (3.39 per cent over base rate).

However, the longer base rate has stayed at 0.5 per cent, the more jittery those seeking trackers have become.

After all, signing up to either of these deals may look good today but, if base rate were to climb to 4 per cent over a period of five months, say, a 7.38 per cent mortgage rate would cause serious financial harm.

On the face of it, tracker-rate products look incredible value at present, In more normal times, we would recommend a tracker rate is still affordable with a 1 per cent rise factored in, but now we recommend a 2 per cent rise is planned for.

Last week, the Policy Exchange went as far as to warn base rate could hit 8 per cent by 2012 because of inflation. However, says Melanie Bien at Private Finance, the consensus is for a slower increase in base rate: "Interest rates are at all-time lows so there is only one direction for rates to go."

One alternative, is to consider a tracker with a "switch to fix" option on offer at lenders including Woolwich, Nationwide and RBS. This allows you to jump ship into one of the fixed rates without incurring a penalty.

 

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